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Turbulent Times for Airlines in India

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On September 28, 2006, the Minister of State for Civil Aviation, Praful Patel, held a meeting with the heads of various domestic carriers to discuss the problem of growing losses in the Indian aviation sector.

The minister said that there would be closer scrutiny of new applications before issuing licenses to new carriers. He also said that the ministry would take up the issue of high aviation turbine fuel (ATF) prices with the oil companies and the petroleum ministry.

The Indian aviation sector had witnessed strong growth in 2005 with the entry of many low cost carriers (LCC).

The increased competition resulted in lower air fares for travelers and the domestic air passenger traffic grew from 19.8 million during July 2004 and June 2005 to 27.5 million during July 2005 and June 2006.

However, in an effort to increase market share, the carriers had resorted to offering tickets at highly discounted prices.

While the passengers were benefited due to the drop in air fares, the industry as a whole was faced with mounting losses. In August 2006, Spicejet had reported a net loss of Rs. 414.2 million for the first year of operations.

In September 2006, Deccan Aviation Limited, which operates Air Deccan, the largest LCC in India, reported a net loss of Rs. 3.4 billion for the 15 month period ended June 30, 2006.

Jet Airways, a full service carrier, had also reported a net loss of Rs. 1.0 billion for the half year ended September 30, 2006, against a net profit of Rs. 1.6 billion for the same period of the previous year.

Analysts opined that a combination of factors such as high ATF prices, rising labor costs, rapid fleet expansion, and intense price competition among the players was responsible for the losses in this sector.

The problem was also compounded by new players entering the industry even before the existing players could stabilize their operations.

It was estimated that the industry as a whole could face losses of upto Rs. 16 billion in 2006-07. Some experts expected the industry to consolidate in the near future, with three or four players in the full service category and a similar number of players in the budget category.

Given the problems facing the aviation sector, on October 16, 2006, the representatives of major carriers decided to set up the Federation of Indian Airlines, an industry body that would take up common issues and concerns with the government and also sort out any problems among the members.

Though there was consensus among the members on issues like preventing the withdrawal of exemption of withholding tax on lease rentals, improving aviation infrastructure and reducing taxes on ATF, there were major differences on the issue of fare structure.

While full service carriers wanted a check on the fare reductions offered by LCCs and a hike in the fuel surcharge, the LCCs were opposed to these proposals.

Analysts noted that it remained to be seen as to how the industry players would withstand the turbulence in the sector.

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