Abstract
In July 2005, China announces it is revaluing the Yuan. The long awaited
move has major implications for the global economy. Economists wonder what
the long-term impact of the Yuan revaluation will be. Will the revaluation
help in correcting some of the imbalances in the global economy? Or will
it lead to a global slowdown? |
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CHINA & THE GLOBAL ECONOMY contd...
This had prompted some economists to argue that the
global housing boom was indirectly "made in China". China's contribution to global GDP growth since 2000 had been almost twice as
large as that of the next three biggest emerging economies, India, Brazil and
Russia, combined.
China combined a vast supply of cheap labor with an
economy that was unusually open for its size to the rest of the world, in
terms of trade and foreign direct investment. China's total exports and
imports of goods and services amounted to around 75% of its GDP. In Japan,
India and Brazil, that figure was only 25-30%.
China's entry into the world economy had significantly expanded the global
labor force. This had increased the world's potential growth rate and helped
to hold down wages. In America, Europe and Japan, the pace of growth in real
wages had been unusually weak in recent years. Indeed, measured by the
creation of jobs, this was America's weakest recovery for decades....
More...
THE YUAN REVALUATION
THE GLOBAL IMPLICATIONS
THE ROAD AHEAD
EXHIBIT I CHINA
EXHIBIT II CHINA'S ECONOMIC INDICATORS
EXHIBIT III CHINA'S ECONOMIC INDICATORS (PROJECTIONS)
EXHIBIT IV CHINA'S FOREIGN TRADE
EXHIBIT V MERCHANDISE EXPORTS TO AND IMPORTS FROM CHINA 2003 ($ BILLION)
EXHIBIT VI CHINA'S EXPORTS, % OF WORLD TOTAL
EXHIBIT VII
EXHIBIT VIII MAJOR FOREIGN HOLDERS OF TREASURY SECURITIES
EXHIBIT IX YUAN SHIFT CHINA - ONE YEAR CNY/US$ NDFS
BIBLIOGRAPHY
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| Keywords
China, World Economy, Yuan Revaluation, Global implications of revalued
Yuan, Geopolitical implications and Long-term implications.
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